The essay question is “Do horizon scanning techniques and an anticipatory governance mindset offer the potential to deliver substantially better policy? Or do they increase the risk of misplaced complacency and succumbing to a control fallacy?”
The course covered basic concepts of futures thinking, which attempts to anticipate the future full of uncertainty and how governments can utilise the techniques. I attach zip files including lecutre materials and related articles. In the ‘Articles’ folder, I put AA to the material that well cover related concepts. The ones with A explains the concept in detail. The word file is written by our lecturer himself so it would be a great help.
If you use some case studies, I would appreciate it if you touch scientific and innovation policies. I attach related government reports or links below as well.
EU JRC: https://policy-lab.ec.europa.eu/news/everybody-looking-future-technology-foresight-perspective-2023-10-10_en
UKRI: https://www.ukri.org/who-we-are/innovate-uk/our-plan-for-action/horizon-scanning-and-foresight/
NIH: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/books/NBK556423/
Please let me know if you have any questions or you need more information.